Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.363236 0.430965 0.506634 0.597267 0.702695 0.821282 0.964593
2025-01-05 0.265909 0.354110 0.463296 0.607654 0.792675 1.020946 1.322906
2025-01-12 0.206526 0.299799 0.424372 0.601399 0.844699 1.165253 1.617073
2025-01-19 0.168008 0.262211 0.396250 0.598428 0.892603 1.301327 1.907484
2025-01-26 0.147035 0.244284 0.390384 0.622208 0.976129 1.490181 2.285409
2025-02-02 0.140449 0.246213 0.412654 0.688346 1.126616 1.787231 2.845647
2025-02-09 0.126454 0.233515 0.409705 0.713807 1.216202 2.000491 3.299160
2025-02-16 0.108923 0.211717 0.388467 0.706011 1.250511 2.129684 3.632118
2025-02-23 0.091917 0.187883 0.360117 0.681831 1.253664 2.207333 3.886918
2025-03-02 0.076835 0.165015 0.330045 0.650186 1.239322 2.252862 4.090052
2025-03-09 0.070845 0.158773 0.329353 0.671110 1.318815 2.462736 4.587071
2025-03-16 0.060539 0.142045 0.306378 0.647151 1.313482 2.523357 4.828130
2025-03-23 0.055199 0.135309 0.302848 0.661749 1.384429 2.731060 5.357939
2025-03-30 0.050079 0.128254 0.297819 0.672958 1.450525 2.936770 5.904079
2025-04-06 0.044121 0.118186 0.284924 0.666076 1.479548 3.074708 6.334391
2025-04-13 0.039251 0.109810 0.274452 0.662810 1.515109 3.227510 6.804641
2025-04-20 0.036972 0.107481 0.277277 0.688942 1.614620 3.514085 7.558253
2025-04-27 0.037748 0.113205 0.299599 0.761588 1.820847 4.031309 8.809496
2025-05-04 0.035686 0.110969 0.302511 0.789541 1.931548 4.361227 9.705295
2025-05-11 0.031870 0.103180 0.290657 0.780982 1.959431 4.520324 10.260893
2025-05-18 0.027658 0.093430 0.272393 0.754434 1.943062 4.583374 10.619049
2025-05-25 0.023641 0.083433 0.251949 0.719680 1.903435 4.591896 10.860177
2025-06-01 0.022404 0.081807 0.253871 0.742661 2.004756 4.920354 11.821716